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30-year TIPS auction of 18 June 2015 (reopening)

The 30-year TIPS sold $7 billion at a high real yield of 1.142% on , with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.45.

Coupon
0.750%
Announced
Issued
Matures

Real yield

1.142%

Median real yield 1.075%

Bid-to-cover

2.45

▲ +0.02 since 19 Feb

Sold

$7.00 billion

$7 billion offered

Indirect bidders

70.8%

Of competitive bids accepted

Real yield at the last 22 30-year TIPS auctions

Real yield at each 30-year TIPS auction, %

Real yield at the last 22 30-year TIPS auctions22 auctions from 8 April 1998 to 18 June 2015; the latest at 1.142%.0.0%1.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%5.0%1998199920002001201020112012201320142015This auction, 1.142%Real yield at the last 22 30-year TIPS auctions22 auctions from 8 April 1998 to 18 June 2015; the latest at 1.142%.0.0%1.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%5.0%1999200020012010201120122013201420151.142%

Source: U.S. Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal Service, Fiscal Data, Treasury Securities Auctions Data. Observed .

The 22 auctions as a table
Real yield and bid-to-cover of the last 22 30-year TIPS auctions, newest first
AuctionReal yield, %Bid-to-cover
1.1422.45
0.8422.43
0.9852.29
1.1162.76
1.4952.34
1.3302.76
1.4202.48
0.6392.47
0.4792.82
0.5202.64
0.7702.46
0.9993.06
1.7443.02
2.1902.54
1.7682.78
2.2292.45
3.4652.23
3.9531.98
4.138–
3.899–
3.680–
3.740–

Against its own history

Against the previous 12 auctions of the 30-year TIPS
MeasureThis auctionMedianHigherLower
Bid-to-cover ratio2.452.569 of 123 of 12
High real yield1.1420.9924 of 128 of 12
Indirect bidders' share70.851.80 of 1212 of 12
Direct bidders' share4.313.410 of 122 of 12
Primary dealers' share24.936.812 of 120 of 12
High minus median, basis points6.76.23 of 128 of 12

The table scrolls sideways; the first column stays in place.

  • Indirect bidders' share: Highest of all 15 earlier 30-year TIPS auctions we hold.
  • Primary dealers' share: Lowest of all 15 earlier 30-year TIPS auctions we hold.

Who bought the 30-year TIPS?

Indirect bidders took 70.8% of the competitive bids accepted

Share of competitive bids accepted, %. Grey: the previous 30-year TIPS auction, 19 February 2015

Indirect bidders took 70.8% of the competitive bids acceptedIndirect bidders 70.8%, Direct bidders 4.3%, Primary dealers 24.9%Indirect bidders70.8%69.0%Direct bidders4.3%4.0%Primary dealers24.9%27.0%Indirect bidders took 70.8% of the competitive bids acceptedIndirect bidders 70.8%, Direct bidders 4.3%, Primary dealers 24.9%Indirect bidders70.8%69.0%Direct bidders4.3%4.0%Primary dealers24.9%27.0%
The shares as a table
Shares of competitive bids accepted, %
BidderThis auctionPrevious
Indirect bidders70.869.0
Direct bidders4.34.0
Primary dealers24.927.0

About these figures

Treasury's full result, how to read it, its limits and sources

Treasury's published result

FieldValue
Offered as29-Year 8-Month, reopening
Offering amount$7,000,000,000
Bids received$17,133,077,600
Sold$7,000,002,700
Competitive bids accepted$6,990,315,000
Non-competitive bids accepted$9,687,700
Federal Reserve (SOMA) add-on$0
Foreign and international (FIMA) non-competitive$0
Real yield, %1.142
Median rate, %1.075
Low rate, %0.900
Interest rate (coupon), %0.750
Bids at the high rate filled, %67.65
Bid-to-cover ratio2.45
Indirect bidders accepted$4,950,255,000
Direct bidders accepted$300,000,000
Primary dealers accepted$1,740,060,000
Indirect bidders' share, % (ours)70.8
Direct bidders' share, % (ours)4.3
Primary dealers' share, % (ours)24.9
High minus median, basis points (ours)6.7
Treasury real par yield curve, 30-year point, same day, %1.14
High yield minus that point, basis points (ours)0.2

Treasury's own files: announcement (PDF) · results (PDF)

How to read this result

The high real yield is the highest rate Treasury accepted; every winning bidder gets it. The bid-to-cover ratio is bids received divided by the amount sold. Shares are of competitive bids accepted. High minus median shows how far the accepted cut-off sat above the middle accepted bid; it is not the market's auction tail, which needs a when-issued price that is not public.

The real par yield curve comparison sets the high yield against Treasury's own real par yield curve on the auction day, at the point nearest this security's maturity (30-year). Treasury fixes that curve from market quotes in the late afternoon, after the auction closed, so the gap mixes the auction's pricing with the afternoon's market move. It is not the auction tail either.

What this number cannot tell you

  • Why it sold where it did. Results show what was bid and accepted, not the reasons behind any bid.
  • The auction tail as markets quote it. That compares the high yield with the when-issued yield just before bids closed, a market price that is not public; we show high minus median instead, a different measure.
  • Who the bidders are. Indirect bidders include foreign and international accounts bidding through the New York Fed and investors bidding through dealers; Treasury does not publish names.
  • Demand on another day. A bid-to-cover ratio counts bids at one auction against the amount offered, and the amount offered changes from auction to auction.

The longer windows

Each measure against earlier 30-year TIPS auctions: how many were higher and lower, and their median
MeasureThis auctionWindowHigherLowerMedian
Bid-to-cover ratio2.45Since 22 February 201011 of 153 of 152.54
Bid-to-cover ratio2.45All 17 since 11 October 200011 of 175 of 172.48
High real yield1.142Since 22 February 20107 of 158 of 151.116
High real yield1.142All 21 since 8 April 199813 of 218 of 211.495
Indirect bidders' share70.8All 15 since 22 February 20100 of 1515 of 1549.1
Direct bidders' share4.3All 15 since 22 February 201012 of 153 of 1513.2
Primary dealers' share24.9All 15 since 22 February 201015 of 150 of 1537.6
High minus median, basis points6.7Since 22 February 20104 of 1510 of 156.0
High minus median, basis points6.7All 21 since 8 April 19986 of 2114 of 216.0

The table scrolls sideways; the first column stays in place.

Sources

Source: U.S. Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal Service, Fiscal Data, Treasury Securities Auctions Data. Observed .

Shares of competitive bids, grades against earlier auctions and the high-minus-median spread are computed by 500metrics from Treasury's published fields; how.

Source: U.S. Treasury, Daily Treasury par yield curve rates. Observed .

How to cite this

U.S. Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal Service, Fiscal Data, Treasury Securities Auctions Data, auction of 18 June 2015. Results file: https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2015/R_20150618_1.pdf. Compiled by 500metrics, "30-year TIPS auction of 18 June 2015 (reopening)", https://500metrics.com/treasury/auctions/30-year-tips/2015-06-18.

Sources and licence

Sources and licence

  • U.S. Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal Service, Fiscal Data (source). Licence: Public domain, a work of the US federal government
  • U.S. Treasury, daily par yield curve rates (source). Licence: Public domain, a work of the US federal government

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