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20-year TIPS auction of 26 January 2009 (new issue)

The 20-year TIPS sold $8 billion at a high real yield of 2.500% on , with a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.92.

Coupon
2.500%
Announced
Issued
Matures

Real yield

2.500%

Median real yield 2.310%

Bid-to-cover

1.92

▲ +0.34 since 22 Jul

Sold

$8.00 billion

$8 billion offered

Indirect bidders

54.0%

Of competitive bids accepted

Real yield at the last 7 20-year TIPS auctions

Real yield at each 20-year TIPS auction, %

Real yield at the last 7 20-year TIPS auctions7 auctions from 24 January 2006 to 26 January 2009; the latest at 2.500%.1.8%2.0%2.2%2.4%2.6%2006200720082009This auction, 2.500%Real yield at the last 7 20-year TIPS auctions7 auctions from 24 January 2006 to 26 January 2009; the latest at 2.500%.1.8%2.0%2.2%2.4%2.6%20062007200820092.500%

Source: U.S. Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal Service, Fiscal Data, Treasury Securities Auctions Data. Observed .

The 7 auctions as a table
Real yield and bid-to-cover of the last 7 20-year TIPS auctions, newest first
AuctionReal yield, %Bid-to-cover
2.5001.92
2.2191.58
1.8071.79
2.6002.23
2.4202.05
2.4942.24
2.0391.48

Against its own history

Against every earlier 20-year TIPS auction we hold
MeasureThis auctionMedianHigherLower
Bid-to-cover ratio1.921.923 of 63 of 6
High real yield2.5002.3201 of 65 of 6
Indirect bidders' share54.043.10 of 11 of 1
Direct bidders' share0.41.11 of 10 of 1
Primary dealers' share45.655.81 of 10 of 1
High minus median, basis points19.04.60 of 66 of 6

The table scrolls sideways; the first column stays in place.

Who bought the 20-year TIPS?

Indirect bidders took 54.0% of the competitive bids accepted

Share of competitive bids accepted, %. Grey: the previous 20-year TIPS auction, 22 July 2008

Indirect bidders took 54.0% of the competitive bids acceptedIndirect bidders 54.0%, Direct bidders 0.4%, Primary dealers 45.6%Indirect bidders54.0%43.1%Direct bidders0.4%1.1%Primary dealers45.6%55.8%Indirect bidders took 54.0% of the competitive bids acceptedIndirect bidders 54.0%, Direct bidders 0.4%, Primary dealers 45.6%Indirect bidders54.0%43.1%Direct bidders0.4%1.1%Primary dealers45.6%55.8%
The shares as a table
Shares of competitive bids accepted, %
BidderThis auctionPrevious
Indirect bidders54.043.1
Direct bidders0.41.1
Primary dealers45.655.8

About these figures

Treasury's full result, how to read it, its limits and sources

Treasury's published result

20-year TIPS auction of 26 January 2009: Treasury's published result, with our shares and spread marked "ours"
FieldValue
Offered as20-Year, new issue
Offering amount$8,000,000,000
Bids received$15,327,957,800
Sold$8,000,000,800
Competitive bids accepted$7,839,483,000
Non-competitive bids accepted$160,517,800
Federal Reserve (SOMA) add-on$0
Foreign and international (FIMA) non-competitive$0
Real yield, %2.500
Median rate, %2.310
Low rate, %0.990
Interest rate (coupon), %2.500
Bids at the high rate filled, %56.67
Bid-to-cover ratio1.92
Indirect bidders accepted$4,232,590,200
Direct bidders accepted$35,133,400
Primary dealers accepted$3,571,759,400
Indirect bidders' share, % (ours)54.0
Direct bidders' share, % (ours)0.4
Primary dealers' share, % (ours)45.6
High minus median, basis points (ours)19.0
Treasury real par yield curve, 20-year point, same day, %2.47
High yield minus that point, basis points (ours)3.0

Treasury's own files: announcement (PDF) · results (PDF)

How to read this result

The high real yield is the highest rate Treasury accepted; every winning bidder gets it. The bid-to-cover ratio is bids received divided by the amount sold. Shares are of competitive bids accepted. High minus median shows how far the accepted cut-off sat above the middle accepted bid; it is not the market's auction tail, which needs a when-issued price that is not public.

The real par yield curve comparison sets the high yield against Treasury's own real par yield curve on the auction day, at the point nearest this security's maturity (20-year). Treasury fixes that curve from market quotes in the late afternoon, after the auction closed, so the gap mixes the auction's pricing with the afternoon's market move. It is not the auction tail either.

What this number cannot tell you

  • Why it sold where it did. Results show what was bid and accepted, not the reasons behind any bid.
  • The auction tail as markets quote it. That compares the high yield with the when-issued yield just before bids closed, a market price that is not public; we show high minus median instead, a different measure.
  • Who the bidders are. Indirect bidders include foreign and international accounts bidding through the New York Fed and investors bidding through dealers; Treasury does not publish names.
  • Demand on another day. A bid-to-cover ratio counts bids at one auction against the amount offered, and the amount offered changes from auction to auction.

The longer windows

Each measure against earlier 20-year TIPS auctions: how many were higher and lower, and their median
MeasureThis auctionWindowHigherLowerMedian
Bid-to-cover ratio1.92Since 22 July 20080 of 11 of 11.58
High real yield2.500Since 22 July 20080 of 11 of 12.219
High minus median, basis points19.0Since 22 July 20080 of 11 of 18.9

The table scrolls sideways; the first column stays in place.

Sources

Source: U.S. Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal Service, Fiscal Data, Treasury Securities Auctions Data. Observed .

Shares of competitive bids, grades against earlier auctions and the high-minus-median spread are computed by 500metrics from Treasury's published fields; how.

Source: U.S. Treasury, Daily Treasury par yield curve rates. Observed .

How to cite this

U.S. Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal Service, Fiscal Data, Treasury Securities Auctions Data, auction of 26 January 2009. Results file: https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2009/R_20090126_3.pdf. Compiled by 500metrics, "20-year TIPS auction of 26 January 2009 (new issue)", https://500metrics.com/treasury/auctions/20-year-tips/2009-01-26.

Sources and licence

Sources and licence

  • U.S. Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal Service, Fiscal Data (source). Licence: Public domain, a work of the US federal government
  • U.S. Treasury, daily par yield curve rates (source). Licence: Public domain, a work of the US federal government

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